Stanton leads Lions over Broncos

Football Betting Lines

08/22/2010 - Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Drew Stanton's 25-yard rushing touchdown with just under two minutes remaining lifted the Detroit Lions over the Denver Broncos, 25-20, in the second preseason game for each club at Invesco Field.

Stanton completed 2-of-4 passes for 36 yards and gained 31 yards on the ground for the Lions, who lost 23-7 to the Steelers last week. Starting quarterback Matthew Stafford connected on 13-of-18 passes for 130 yards and a touchdown. Shaun Hill completed 9-of-14 passes for 93 yards.

Rookie running back Jahvid Best rushed for 49 yards on eight carries. Calvin Johnson caught two passes for 34 yards and a score for Detroit, which got four field goals from Steven Hauschka.

Kyle Orton, who signed a contract extension through the 2011 season earlier in the week, connected on 16-of-22 passes for 177 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception for the Broncos, who were coming off a 33-24 loss to the Bengals. Brady Quinn completed 11-of-17 passes for 115 yards.

Tim Tebow, the Broncos' 2010 first-round quarterback choice, was expected to make his live Denver debut. However, he was held out of the game due to a rib injury suffered in the previous game.

The Broncos were without a total of 16 players, including cornerback Champ Bailey, linebacker D.J. Williams, and wide receiver Brandon Stokley.

Jabar Gaffney caught six passes for 98 yards, while Lance Ball and Marquez Branson each had a receiving touchdown. Bruce Hall rushed for 43 yards on five carries.

Trailing 20-19 following Matt Prater's 33-yard field goal, the Lions put together a 10-play drive. Faced with a 3rd-and-4 from the Denver 25, Stanton scrambled up the middle after failing to find an open receiver. Stanton found the end zone to complete the 80-yard march. The two-point conversion failed.

Denver drove down to the Detroit 33 before Quinn fumbled the ball away.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.